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CEO Storm Watch · the report20 October 2026

Max Noble

General Motors

Mary Barra promised $14.5–15.5 billion of profit in 2026. Delivered: not settled yet: the 2026 results are due in late January.

🇺🇸 United States · AutomotiveGM−18.6IntegrityMary BarraMary BarraCEO, 2014–, General MotorsPromisedProfit, 2026$14.5–15.5bn20 October 2026

Last checked · How I check · Follow this CEO

She promised

$14.5–15.5 billion of profit in 2026

Mary Barra, CEO, 2014–, on 20 October 2026.

She got

Not settled yet

Stamp: On track.

Why, says the company

GM narrowed the range after its third quarter.

How bad

Near miss. The CEO’s Integrity Score went from −18.6 to −18.6.

In the company’s own words

GM gave its third-quarter results and narrowed the range for the year.

The sources

Last checked 8 November 2026: the sources were opened again and the promise and the stamp still stand. How I check.

How the Max Noble Odds moved

Odds: 80% before the first call → verdict expected on 27 January 2027

The chance of Yes to “Will GM make at least $14.5 billion of profit in 2026?” The first number is my starting estimate; every call moves it. One point a day is kept from 8 November 2026 to the verdict.

Will GM make at least $14.5 billion of profit in 2026? Make your call in The Power Game →

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