Max Noble
Max Noble Column · The Laws of Business Power10 November 2026 · 3 min read

Ambu, the price rise and the customers who were free to leave

Ambu raised prices in its oldest business and promised it would still grow. The hospitals kept the contracts and bought less.

By Max Noble ·

In 3 lines

  1. A year ago Ambu promised its anaesthesia and monitoring business would grow by mid-single digits.
  2. It grew 0.4 per cent; Ambu says volumes fell after its price increases.
  3. My verdict: the customers were free to leave, and they used the freedom.

Wednesday, 5 November 2025, before breakfast, Ballerup. Ambu, the Danish maker of single-use endoscopes and of the masks and breathing bags of the operating theatre, published its annual report, and on page 11 it promised that its older business would grow by “mid-single digits” this year. This column is about one mechanic, the price rise on a contract the customer is free to leave, and by the end you will see it before the room does.

The law of the day: every price is a question.

On the same page Ambu explained how it had made the older business more profitable: “raising prices in selected low-margin areas”, the products that keep the least from each sale. Keep that sentence.

Last Thursday, a year to the day, I read the new one. Anaesthesia and patient monitoring grew 0.4 per cent in the year.

So how does a company raise its prices, keep its contracts and still lose the sale? Hold on.

## Two companies, one canteen

Ambu is really two businesses sharing a canteen. One sells single-use cameras that doctors put inside patients, and it grew more than 16 per cent; the other sells the masks, bags and monitors that hospitals have bought for decades, and was meant to jog along behind.

In February Ambu said it “remains confident in delivering mid-single digits organic growth” in that older half, organic meaning before currency swings and purchases. Confidence costs nothing. The contracts, it turned out, cost even less to leave.

In May, somebody ordered less.

The May report blamed “lower volumes in selected U.S. accounts operating under non-exclusive contracts”. In plain words: a non-exclusive contract is a menu, not an order.

## The menu

A non-exclusive contract fixes the price but not the quantity. When the price goes up, the hospital keeps the contract and quietly buys less. The seller sees the higher price at once and the missing orders only later, which is why the first year looks like genius.

It was on page 32 of the report with the promise: “previously announced price increases had an extraordinarily positive effect” in the first half of the year. Part of the good year was the price, and a price rise only arrives once. The is the only honest man in the building.

The forecast for the whole company was trimmed in May and again in August, to “around 10%”. Ambu called the second cut an update, the word companies use when a number has left without them.

Then, last Thursday, Ambu wrote the cause down itself: lower volumes in anaesthesia “following price increases”. It is the clearest sentence in Danish medical devices this year, and it fits on a sticky note.

In fairness, the whole company grew 10.1 per cent, which its chief executive, Britt Meelby Jensen, said last Thursday was “within the range we set at the beginning of the year”, its own forecast. That is true, at the bottom of it. The endoscopes held the floor while the masks walked off it.

Right of reply: Ambu had not been asked for comment before publication on 10 November 2026. Any response will be added here, with the date it arrived.

Behind the flat line are factories and sales teams who did their jobs; what is judged here is a price decision, not their work.

## The verdict

Three signals to watch in any company: growth the report says came from price; contracts that let the customer leave; a forecast that assumes the customer will not.

My verdict: Ambu raised prices on customers who were free to buy elsewhere, promised growth anyway, and the customers used the freedom.

Every price is a question, and the customer answers it with the order book.

What you now know

  • A non-exclusive contract fixes the price, not the quantity: raise the price and the customer can keep the contract and buy less.
  • Growth that came from a price rise arrives once; the lost orders stay lost, every year.
  • When a report says growth came from price, read next year's forecast as a bet that the customer will not leave.

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“Raising prices in selected low-margin areas,” the report said a year ago. The prices went up as selected; the hospitals did some selecting of their own.

The new forecast gets its first test with the first-quarter report; it is in my diary. Next in my queue: Ford, and the two cents of every dollar that went missing.

Law No. 16 · Build Growth That Needs No Permission

Understand Business. Better.
Max Noble

The verdict

Ambu raised prices on customers who were free to buy elsewhere, promised growth anyway, and the customers used the freedom.

Tomorrow

Ford, which promised to keep eight cents of every dollar it sold, and the two cents that went missing.

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Famous last words
“Ambu remains confident in delivering mid-single digits organic growth in Anesthesia & Patient Monitoring for the full year”
Ambu interim report for the first quarter of 2025/26, 4 February 2026
PromisedNovember 2025·Died6 May 2026

Mid-single digits were promised. Nought point four arrived. The price went up; the orders went down.

🇩🇰 Denmark · Medical devices
Britt Meelby Jensen
BROKENmid-single digits promised, 0.4% delivered
Britt Meelby Jensen
Chief Executive Officer, Ambu, since 2022
Photo: Novo Nordisk (board of directors; Britt Meelby Jensen is chief executive of Ambu)
AmbuDenmark · Medical devices

The writer lectures in strategy, finance and innovation, spent more than a decade in internal controls around the world, and is the founder of Max Noble, which tracks broken corporate promises and how giants rise and why they fall.

Not investment advice · Anyone charged is presumed innocent until a court decides otherwise · DKK 6.71 to the dollar (6 November 2026) · Max Noble holds no stake in any party named · Published 10 November 2026, 06:05 Copenhagen.

How this column was judged

  1. What was promisedAmbu “expects Anesthesia & Patient Monitoring to grow mid-single digits” in 2025/26; in February it “remains confident in delivering mid-single digits organic growth” (5 November 2025 (repeated 4 February 2026))
  2. Where it was saidvia.ritzau.dk
  3. What came outAnesthesia & Patient Monitoring “increased organically by 0.4%”, “offset by lower volumes in Anesthesia following price increases” (5 November 2026)
  4. Where it came outinderes.fi
  5. The verdictBroken · Law No. 16 · Build Growth That Needs No Permission

The numbers, exactly

  • Outlook for 2025/26, 5 Nov 2025: organic revenue growth 10-13%; EBIT margin before special items 12-14% (14-16% excluding assumed tariff impacts of about 2 points) · source
  • 2024/25: Anesthesia & Patient Monitoring organic growth 9.9% (6.1% the year before) · source
  • 6 May 2026: organic revenue growth outlook 10-12% (previously 10-13%); A&PM low-single-digit growth (previously mid-single-digits); A&PM Q2 organic growth -2.5% · source
  • 25 Aug 2026: organic revenue growth “around 10%”; EBIT margin 12-14%, toward the high end; A&PM “very low-single-digit organic growth” · source
  • 2025/26: revenue DKK 6,471m (about $964mn at DKK 6.71), organic growth 10.1% (13.1%); Endoscopy Solutions 16.4%; A&PM 0.4% (9.9%); EBIT margin 13.2% (13.0%) · source
  • Outlook for 2026/27: organic revenue growth 9.5-11.5%; EBIT margin 13-15%; Endoscopy Solutions around 15% · source

Sources

  1. Ambu Annual Report 2024/25 (PDF), published 5 Nov 2025: p. 11 outlook for 2025/26 (“expects Anesthesia & Patient Monitoring to grow mid-single digits”; “raising prices in selected low-margin areas”); p. 32 Anesthesia & Patient Monitoring (“previously announced price increases had an extraordinarily positive effect in first half of the year”)
  2. Ambu company announcement: Annual Report 2025/26, 5 Nov 2026, 07:10 CET (organic growth 10.1%; Endoscopy Solutions 16.4%; A&PM 0.4%, “offset by lower volumes in Anesthesia following price increases”; outlook 2026/27 9.5-11.5%)
The full notes · 10 more sources
  1. Ambu company announcement: Annual Report 2024/25, 5 Nov 2025, 07:10 CET
  2. Ambu company announcement: Interim report for Q4 2024/25 and outlook for FY 2025/26 (organic growth 10-13%, EBIT margin 12-14%), 5 Nov 2025
  3. Ambu interim report Q1 2025/26 (PDF), 4 Feb 2026: p. 5 “Ambu remains confident in delivering mid-single digits organic growth in Anesthesia & Patient Monitoring for the full year”; p. 7 outlook maintained
  4. Ambu interim report Q2 2025/26 (PDF), 6 May 2026: organic growth 10-12% (previously 10-13%); “lower volumes in selected U.S. accounts operating under non-exclusive contracts”; A&PM low-single-digit (previously mid-single-digits)
  5. Ambu company announcement: Ambu updates financial outlook for 2025/26 (organic growth “around 10%”; A&PM “very low-single-digit organic growth”), 25 Aug 2026
  6. Ambu company announcement: Interim report for Q3 2025/26, 25 Aug 2026
  7. Investing.com: Earnings call transcript, Ambu Q3 2026 (shares fell about 15%), 26 Aug 2026
  8. Ambu company announcement: Interim report for Q4 2025/26 and outlook for FY 2026/27, 5 Nov 2026
  9. Novo Nordisk board of directors: Britt Meelby Jensen, CEO of Ambu A/S (portrait)
  10. Pound Sterling Live: USD/DKK history 2026 (close 6.7094 on 6 Nov 2026)

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